Sunday, October 24th

19:00 to 21:00

EMF Reception – Lobby Lounge, Hilton Washington Embassy Row Hotel

Monday, October 25th

8:00

Registration and Continental Breakfast – Ambassador Room Foyer

8:30

Introduction and Objectives for Study/Meeting

·      John Weyant (Energy Modeling Forum—EMF, USA)

9:00

Overview of Progress on the Asian Modeling Exercise

·      Kate Calvin (JGCRI/PNNL, USA)

9:30

Overview of Global Scenario Model Comparisons #1 Plus Discussion:

      Reference and 550 pm Scenarios Across Technology Cases

• Keywan Riahi/Volker Krey (IIASA, Austria)

10:15

 Break

10:45

Global Scenario Modeler Presentations #1 (Chairman: Keywan Riahi/Volker Krey)

• TIAM-World: Richard Loulou (KANLO-KANORS, Canada)
• WITCH: Enrica De Cian and Massimo Tavoni (FEEM, Italy)
• GCAM: Kate Calvin (JGCRI/PNNL, USA)
• GCAM-IIM: Vaibhav Chaturvedi  (IIM, India &JGCRI/PNNL, USA)
• MERGE: Geoff Blanford (EPRI, USA)

12:00

Open Discussion of First Five Talks

12:30

Lunch

13:30

Overview of Global Scenario Model Comparisons #2 Plus Discussion:

      Muddling Through Scenario Across Technology Cases

·      Geoff Blanford (EPRI, USA)

14:15

Global Scenario Modeler Presentations #2 (Chairman: Geoff Blanford)

·      POLES: Alban Kitous (Enerdata, France) and Silvana Mima (CNRS, France)

• REMIND: Elmar Kriegler (PIK, Germany)
• MESSAGE: Volker Krey, Keywan Riahi (IIASA, Austria)
• MS-MRT: Mei Yuan (CRAI, USA)
• DNE21: Kenichi Wada (RITE, Japan)

15:30

Open Discussion of Previous Talks

16:00

Break

16:30

Overview of Global Scenario Model Comparisons #3:

      Technology Cases Across Policy Scenarios

·      Elmar Kriegler (PIK, Germany)

17:15

Open Discussion of EMF 24 Global Scenarios

17:45

Adjourn

Tuesday, October 26th

8:00

Continental Breakfast

8:30

Quick Review of Day #1

·      John Weyant

8:45

Global Scenario Modeler Presentations #3 (Chairman: Elmar Kriegler)

• IMAGE: Jasper van Vliet &Detlef van Vuuren (PBL, Netherlands)
• GRAPE: Atsushi Kurosawa (IAE, Japan)
• AIM-Enduse Model: Osamu Akashi (NIES, Japan)
• IMACLIM: Jean-Charles Hourcade (CIRED, France)

9:45

Open Discussion of Previous Talks and EMF 24 Global Scenarios

10:45

Break

11:15

Overview of US Scenario Model Comparisons #1 Plus Discussion:

Reference and cap and trade policy results across technology cases

·      Leon Clarke JGCRI (JGCRI/PNNL, USA)

Noon

Lunch

 13:00

Overview of US Scenario Model Comparisons #2 Plus Discussion:

Utility and transport policies across technology cases

·      Allen Fawcett (USEPA/Council on Environmental Quality) 

13:45

U. S. Scenario Modeler Presentations #1 (Chairman: Leon Clarke)

• CIMS: Suzanne Goldberg (EMRG, Canada)
• USREP: Sebastian Rausch (Joint Program, MIT, USA)
• NEMS: Diane Kearney (EIA-DOE, USA)
• IPM: Elliot Lieberman (EPA, USA), B.N. Venkatesh (ICF, Int.)

14:45

Open Discussion of Previous Talks

15:15

Break

15:45

 U.S. Scenario Modeler Presentations #2 (Chairman: Allen Fawcett)

• ReDS: Walter Short (NREL, USA)
• GCAM (US): Marshall Wise (JCGRI/PNNL, USA)
• MRN-NEEM: Sugandha Tuladhar (CRAI, USA)
• EPA-MARKAL: Dan Loughlin (EPA-RTP, USA)

16:45

Open Discussion of Previous Talks and EMF 24 US Scenarios

17:30

Adjourn

Wednesday: October 27, 2010

8:00

Continental Breakfast

8:30  

Discussion on Possible EU Model Comparison Exercise

·      EMELIE Model Proposal: Thure Traber (DIW, Germany)

9:15

Discussion of Possible Asian Model Comparison Exercise

10:00

Break

10:30

Update on DOE Renewables Push Study

·      Sam Baldwin (EE&RE DOE, USA)

11:15

Further Discussion of Second Best Scenarios

·      Jean Charles Hourcade (CIRED, France)

12:00 Noon

Working Lunch

12:30

Strategic Planning for Next EMF 24 Meeting and the Balance of the Study

·    Preliminary Experience With the Scenario Data Management System

·      Integration of Technologist and Policy Maker Perspectives

·      Further Plans for Global Scenario Model Comparison Exercise

·      Further Plans for U.S. Scenario Model Comparison Exercise

·      Further Plans for EU Scenario Exercise Comparison Exercise

·      Further Plans for Asian Scenario Model Comparison Exercise

·      Other Ideas and Suggestions

3:30 PM

Adjourn