Research at EMF


EMF 24: Technology Strategies for Achieving Climate Policy Objectives

Project
Ongoing

Statement of Work for EMF 24

Technology Strategies for Achieving Climate Policy Objectives

 

EMF 24 will focus on development and cross model comparison of a new generation of comprehensive international and domestic climate policy intervention scenarios focusing on technology strategies for achieving climate policy objectives.  These scenarios will enable the community to exercise enhanced modeling capabilities that were focused on in previous EMF studies on the international trade implications of climate policies, the representation of technological change, and the incorporations of multi-gas mitigation and land use emissions and mitigation policy alternatives.  They will also be designed to be comprehensive and fit the requirements of contemporary discussions of appropriate climate policies at the national and international levels.  Attention will be devoted to analyzing the efficacy of different policy architectures including different assumptions about the timing of mitigation, the allocation of mitigation obligations across nations, and the choice between tax, economy- wide and sectoral emission caps, technology standards, and GHG intensity standard policy instruments.

"Technology Strategies for Greenhouse Gas Mitigation," will include renewables, CCS, nuclear, energy efficiency and shale gas in some depth.  This study will follow on most directly from EMF 19 on technology characteristics of baseline and 550 CO2 Stabilization Scenarios and EMF 22 on GHG Transition scenarios and International Participation, which is now completely finished and published as a special issue of Energy Economics.  This study will be numbered EMF 24 and the first full working group meeting will be at Stanford on April 20-22. The second working group meeting will be in the Fall of 2010, and the third in the Spring of 2011. We will be doing a lot of scoping of specific topics, scenarios and people (modelers, technology specialists, and policy development folks) before then so will be interacting with all of you on that.  We have some exciting opportunities to synchronize this study with other ongoing and planned activities of the IPCC and the new Integrated Assessment Modeling Consortium (IAMC) which should give it global reach and visibility.  So far, all 19 integrated assessment models that participated in EMF 22 have agreed to participate in this study and another half dozen have expressed interest in doing so.