Frontiers in Energy Systems Transition Modeling Workshops 2014

Tuesday, July 22, 2014

SESSION 1:  INTEGRATED IMPACTS

Welcome & Introduction of Steering Committee

• John Weyant, Stanford University

National Climate Assessment

• Tony Janetos, Boston University

IPCC WG2

• Ian Noble, Climate Adaptation Knowledge Exchange

Risky Business

• Bob Kopp, Rutgers University

Social Cost of Carbon

• Stephanie Waldhoff-(remote), Joint Global Change Research Institute

Energy, Water, Land Climate Change Interactions:  A DOE Perspective

• Bob Vallario, U.S. Department of Energy

City of Boston Climate Impacts and Adaptation Planning

• Brian Swett, City of Boston

The State of the Art in Understanding Potential Climate Impacts and Adaptation

Energy: Empirical estimates of impacts

• Ian Sue Wing, Boston University

Water: Process modeling of water

Additional Reading: Quantifying the link between crop production and mined groundwater irrigation in China (by Danielle S. Grogan, Fan Zhang, Alexander Prusevich)

• Steve Frolking, University of New Hampshire

Water

•  Pat Reed, Penn State University

Adaptation for city infrastructure

•  Paul Kirshen, University of New Hampshire

Sea Level and Extreme Events

• Bob Kopp, Rutgers University

Wednesday, July 23, 2014

The State of the Art in Understanding Potential Climate Impacts and Adaptation (continued)

Agriculture: Empirical estimates of impacts

• Wolfram Schlenker, Columbia University

Agriculture: Empirical estimates of adaptation

• Rob Mendelsohn, Yale University

Agriculture: Process models of impacts/adaptation

• Allison Thomson, JGCRI/PNNL

Moving Forward with Model-Based Impacts Assessment

Introduction and goals of the session

• Kate Calvin, JGCRI/PNNL

Part 1: Individual Sector Studies

Energy

• Ian Sue Wing, Boston University

Agriculture

Additional Reading:  AgMIP’s Trans-disciplinary Approach to Regional Integrated Assessment of Climate Impact, Vulnerability and Adaptation of Agricultural Systems (Authors: John Antle, Roberto Valdivia, Ken Boote, Jerry Hatfield, Sander Janssen, Jim Jones,Cheryl Porter, Cynthia Rosenzweig, Alex Ruane, and Peter Thorburn)

• John Antle, Oregon State University

Food Security

• Tomoko Hasegawa, National Institute for Environmental Studies 

Water

Additional Reading:  Climate Change Adaptation and Water Resource Management: A Review of the Literature by Sheila M. Olmstead

• Jim Shortle, Penn State University

Extreme Events and Catastrophes

• Michael Wehner, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (LBL)

Additional Reading:  Integrated Impacts and Infrastructure Planning

• Tom Wilbanks, Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL)

Thursday, July 24, 2014

Moving Forward with Model-Based Impacts Assessment (continued)

Part 2: Multi-sectoral studies

Energy-water-land at the sub-national scale

Additional Reading:  Investigating the nexus of climate, energy, water,and land at decision-relevant scales: the Platform for Regional Integrated Modeling and Analysis (PRIMA)--(Authors: Ian Kraucunas, Leon Clarke, James Dirks, John Hathaway, Mohamad Hejazi, Kathy Hibbard, Maoyi Huang,  Chunlian Jin, Michael Kintner-Meyer, Kerstin Kleese van Dam, Ruby Leung, Hong-Yi Li, Richard Moss, Marty Peterson, Jennie Rice, Michael Scott, Allison Thomson, Nathalie Voisin and Tristram West.)

• Ian Kraucunas, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL)

Energy-water-land at the national scale

• Jim McFarland, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency

Energy-water-land at the global scale

• Katja Frieler, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impacts Research

Part 3: Understanding aggregate economic impacts

The social cost of carbon

• David Anthoff, University of California at Berkeley

PESETA

• Juan-Carlos Ciscar, IPTS/EC

Open Discussion

• Bryan Mignone, U.S. Department of Energy

Moving Forward with IAMs

GCAM Modeling Energy-Water-Land Impacts 

• Jae Edmonds, JGCRI/PNNL

IGSM - *** 

• John Reilly, Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT)

MERGE - *** 

• Geoff Blanford, EPRI

MESSAGE  *** 

• Detlef van Vuuren, PBL

Friday, July 25 , 2014

Summary- Addressing our Science Questions

• John Weyant, Stanford University

Topic #1 Discussion

• Steve Rose, Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI)

Topic #2 Discussion

• Bas van Ruijven, University Corporation for Atmospheric Research (UCAR)

Topic #3 Discussion

• Habiba Gitay, World Bank

Topic #4 Discussion

• Erwan Monier, MIT

Topic #5 Discussion

• ​Kate Gordon, Next Generation

​--Summary of Previous Sessions and Next Steps--Part 1

Congressional Outlook for Climate Policy

• Jeff Bingaman, Retired U.S. Senator

Revisiting Our Users

• Bob Vallario, U.S. Department of Energy; Jim McFarland, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency & others

--Summary of Previous Sessions and Next Steps--Part 2

Setting the stage

• Tony Janetos, Boston University

The state of the art

• Karen Fisher-Vanden, Penn State University

Moving forward with impacts assessment

• Kate Calvin, JGCRI/PNNL

Moving forward with IAMs

• Geoff Blanford, EPRI