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Snowmass Workshop- Analyses of Multi-Sector Energy and Environmental Dynamics

Availability: By invitation only

Event Details:

Wednesday, July 18, 2018 - Friday, July 20, 2018

Location

Snowmass, CO
United States

Week 1 Agenda - Analyses of Multi-Sector Energy and Environmental Dynamics

Sponsors:

  • National Institute for Environmental Studies, Japan
  • U.S. Department of Energy

Steering Committee:

  • Mohamad Hejazi, Ian Kraucunas, John Reilly, Ian Sue Wing, Mort Webster, John Weyant

Wednesday, July 18, 2018

Welcome & Introduction

  • John Weyant, Stanford University
  • Bob Vallario, U.S. Department of Energy
  • Gary Geernaert, U.S. Department of Energy (verbal presentation only)

Session #1: Mapping a Universe of Coupled Human Earth Systems Modeling Tools

  • Chairs: Ian Sue Wing and John Weyant (verbal presentation only)

This session provides a broad overview of the state of energy-water-land modeling. The focus is on the diagonal elements of the energy-water-land matrix, with major modeling groups providing high level summaries of their model structure, its main components and information flows, and system boundaries.

Core BER Groups

  • MIT-IGSM- John Reilly (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
  • IHESD - Mohamad Hejazi (Joint Global Change Research Institute-PNNL)

Morning Break & Informal Discussions

  • PCHES - Karen Fisher-Vanden (Penn State University)
  • IM3 - Jordan Macknick (National Renewable Energy Laboratory), Brian O’Neill (University of Denver)

Domestic Modeling Groups         

Afternoon Break & Informal Discussions

European Modeling Groups

Discussion

Thursday, July 19, 2018

Session #2: Model-Based Assessments of the Energy-Water-Land Dynamics: Earth System and Socio-Economic Trends and Forcings, Overarching Research Questions and Broad Analytical Approaches

Earth System Trends and Forcings

  • Chair: Mohamad Hejazi

What elements of the earth system do energy-water-land modeling systems treat as exogenous? What trends in these elements do we need to account for? Why? How?

  • MIT - Erwan Monier (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
  • MIT - Adam Schlosser (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
  • PCHES - Rob Nicholas (Penn State University)
  • IHESD - Robert Link  (Pacific Northwest National Laboratory)
  • Panel discussion (Monier, Schlosser, Nicholas, Link, Leung, Collins)

Morning Break & Informal Discussions

Socio-Economic Trends and Forcings

  • Chair: Karen Fisher-Vanden

What elements of human systems do energy-water-land modeling systems treat as exogenous? What trends in these elements do we need to account for? Why? How?

  • IM3 - Brian O’Neill (University of Denver))
  • IHESD/IM3 - Gokul Iyer (Joint Global Change Research Institute-PNNL)
  • PCHES - Doug Wrenn (Penn State University)
  • PCHES - Sheila Olmstead (University of Texas at Austin)
  • IM3 - Jared Carbone (Colorado School of Mines- verbal presentation only)
  • PCHES - Karen Fisher-Vanden (Penn State University)

Discussion

Model-Based Assessments of the Energy-Water-Land Nexus: Research Questions and Broad Analytical Approaches

What are the key high-level research questions being pursued by the teams in Wednesday’s sessions? How are they developing/applying scenarios of exogenous forcings to investigate stressors, and the responses of system components? Are there duplication or gaps in the range of approaches, and opportunities for cross-team coordination of experiments and modeling exercises?

Opening Panel:
  • Richard Lammers (PCHES - University of New Hampshire)
  • Mohamad Hejazi (Joint Global Change Research Institute-PNNL)
  • Erwan Monier (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
  • Michael Kintner-Meyer (Pacific Northwest National Laboratory - IM3- verbal presentation only)
  • Jordan Macknick (National Renewable Energy Laboratory- IM3)

Facilitated Discussion - All Attendees

Afternoon Break & Informal Discussions

Continue Facilitated Discussion – All Attendees

Wrap-up and Propose Next Steps

Friday, July 20, 2018

Sesssion #3 Details of Modeling Key Energy-Water-Land Interactions

  • Chairs: Ian Sue Wing and John Weyant

Each of the various teams sheds light on its own approach to capturing similar categories of interactions among the components of their model system. The goal is to showcase specific ways of operationalizing the broad principles developed in Thursday’s PM session.

Energy-Water:Water-Energy

Open Discussion on this session

Morning Brea & Informal Discussions

Energy-Land:Land-Energy

  • John Reilly (Massachusetts Institute of Technology- verbal presentation only)
  • Mort Webster (Penn State University) presented by Ian Sue Wing (Boston Univeristy)
  • Robert Link (IHESD, Joint Global Change Research Institute-PNNL)
  • Detlef van Vuuren (PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency)
  • Junya Takakura (National Institute for Environmental Studies)
  • Open Discussion on this session – All attendees

Water-Land:Land-Water

  • Erwan Monier (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
  • Tom Wild (IHESD, Joint Global Change Research Institute-PNNL)
  • Detlef vanVuuren (PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency)
  • Keywan Riahi (International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis)
  • Open Discussion on this session
  • Open Discussion on all three sessions

Afternoon Break & Informal Discussions

Summary of Progress and Plans for the Future Plus Concluding Remarks

  • Chairs: The Steering Committee

Feedback Session on Progress and Plans
  • Bill Easterling (National Science Foundation)-Lead
  • Others
  • Brief responses from representatives of the four core BER groups 

Concluding Comments

  • Gary Geernaert & Bob Vallario, U.S. Department of Energy (verbal presentation only)

Adjourn followed by Informal Discussions

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