Snowmass Workshop- Climate Action in a World of Multiple Priorities

Steering Committee: Jae Edmonds, Haroon Kheshgi, Bryan Mignone, Steven Rose, John Weyant

Tuesday June 20

Introduction to Snowmass 2023

Chair: John Weyant (Stanford)

8:00-8:15 Snowmass Workshop Welcome John Weyant (Stanford) and Susan Sweeney

8:15-8:30 Snowmass Workshop’s Week 1 Theme and Agenda: Climate Action in a World of Multiple Priorities- Workshop Organizers

Keynote

Chair: John Weyant (Stanford)

8:30-8:40 Chair’s Introduction

8:40-9:20 The Global Stocktake of the Paris Agreement—What is it? What isn’t it? And what difference does it make? (pre-recorded)- Jim Skea, (Imperial College) Virtual

9:20-9:50 OPEN DISCUSSION

MORNING BREAK

Themes from the GLOBAL STOCKTAKE Successes and Setbacks

Chair: Jim McFarland (EPA)

10:20-10:30 Chair’s Introduction -Jim McFarland (EPA)

10:30-10:50 NDCs and Paris Goals—Are we on track?- Ryna Cui (UMD), Gokul Iyer (PNNL)

10:50-11:10 The Independent Global Stocktake- Casey Cronin (CW)

11:10-11:30 Can 1.5 be saved?- Seth Monteith (CW)

11:30-12:00 OPEN DISCUSSION

12:00-12:45 LUNCH

Chair: Volker Krey (IIASA)

1:00-1:10 Chair’s Introduction Volker Krey (IIASA)

1:10-1:30 Synergies and Tradeoffs in Paris Goals -Gokul Iyer (PNNL)

1:30-1:50 Emissions Trading and Sustainable Development- Sha Yu (IMF)

1:50-2:20 OPEN DISCUSSION

2:20-2:50 AFTERNOON BREAK

Chair: Steven Rose (EPRI)

2:50-3:00 Chair’s Introduction Steven Rose (EPRI)

3:00-4:20 Panel on Emission Scenarios Relevant to the Global Stocktake- Christoph Bertram (UMD/PIK), Jim McFarland (EPA), Roberto Schaeffer (UFRJ), Chris Weber (BlackRock)

4:20-5:00 OPEN DISCUSSION

Wednesday June 21

Competing and Complementary National Priorities

    a.  Synergy, Competition, and Conflict

    b.  National Security

    c.  Trade, development, and equity

         i. Energy

        ii. Food

        iii. Technology

        iv. Health

Chair: Frances Moore (CEA)

8:00-8:30 Keynote (remote) and Discussion -Jonathan Pershing (Hewlett Foundation)

8:30-9:30 Panel on Regional Priorities: USA, Europe, Japan, Australia -Elke Hodson Marten (DOE), Volker Krey (IIASA), Kiyoshi Takahashi (NIES), Brian Fisher (BA Economics)

9:30-10:00 OPEN DISCUSSION

10:00-10:30 MORNING BREAK

Chair: Maheen Arshad (UNEP-FI)

10:30-11:15 Panel on Regional Priorities: Brazil, China, India -Roberto Schaeffer (UFRJ)  (oral presentation), Ryna Cui (UMD), Gokul Iyer (PNNL)

11:15-12:00 OPEN DISCUSSION

12:00-12:45 LUNCH

Role of Technology in Decarbonization

• Emerging technologies
• Incumbent technologies
• Capturing the promise of technology
• Technology economics and policy

Chair: Elke Hodson Marten (DOE)

1:00-1:30 The Choice of Technology Pathway to Net Zero- Bryan Mignone (ExxonMobil)

1:30-1:50 Deploying Emerging Technologies- Rory Jacobson (DOE)

1:50-2:20 OPEN DISCUSSION

Chair: Jae Edmonds (PNNL)

CDR Technologies in the Net Zero Portfolio

2:20-2:30 Chair’s Introduction- Jae Edmonds (PNNL)

2:30-2:50 The many faces of CDR- Jay Fuhrman (PNNL)

2:50-3:10 Direct Air Capture- Tim Fout (NETL)

3:10-3:40 OPEN DISCUSSION

3:40-4:10 AFTERNOON BREAK

Chair: Haroon Kheshgi (University of Illinois)

Alternative Fuel Pathways

4:10-4:20 Chair’s Introduction- Haroon Kheshgi (University of Illinois)

4:20-4:40 Alternative Fuels Options in the USA- Geoff Blanford (EPRI)

4:40-5:00 Alternative Fuels Options in Brazil- Roberto Schaeffer (UFRJ)

5:00-5:30 OPEN DISCUSSION

Thursday June 22

Climate Finance and the Macro Economy

9:00-9:10 Welcome back, introduction to the day, introduce the chair- John Weyant (Stanford)

Chair: Jae Edmonds (PNNL)

9:10 Speaker introduction- Jae Edmonds (PNNL)

9:10-9:40 Keynote: Climate finance, the macro economy, and the transition to a stable climate: challenges and opportunities- Heather Boushey (CEA)

9:40-10:00 OPEN DISCUSSION

10:00-10:30  MORNING BREAK

Chair: Sha Yu (IMF)

Climate Finance Scenarios Today

10:30-10:40 Chair’s Introduction- Ryna Cui (UMD)

10:40-11:00 The NGFS Scenarios- Christoph Bertram (UMD/PIK)

11:00-11:20 Climate finance scenarios and the larger world- Sha Yu (UMD)

11:20-11:40 What should modelers begin preparing to deliver?- Seth Monteith (CW)

11:40-12:00 OPEN DISCUSSION

Noon-12:45 LUNCH

Chair: Heather Boushey (CEA)

User Needs and the Path Forward in Climate Finance Scenario Development

1:00-1:10 Chair’s Introduction- Heather Boushey (CEA)

1:10-1:40 The role of climate scenarios at financial regulators- Adele Morris (FRB)

1:40-2:10 The role of climate finance scenarios Investment- Chris Weber (BlackRock)

2:10-2:40 OPEN DISCUSSION

2:40-3:10 AFTERNOON BREAK

Chair: Heather Boushey (CEA)

3:10-3:40 The role of climate finance scenarios at the IMF- Sha Yu (IMF)

3:40-4:10 The role of climate finance scenarios at the UNEP-FI- Maheen Arshad (UNEP-FI)

4:10-4:40 Multiple uses and needs in US Policymaking- Frances Moore (CEA)

4:40-5:10 OPEN DISCUSSION

Friday June 23

Challenges and opportunities for estimating the global economic impacts of climate change.

Estimating the global economic impacts of climate change is technically and scientifically challenging, requiring characterization and projection of potential global economic and physical systems for centuries. Recent IPCC reports and social cost of carbon developments have facilitated and forced assessment of current underlying scientific knowledge and translation of that information, as well as identified scientific challenges. This one-day session is an opportunity to discuss the state of the art, characterize key challenges, and together, identify research priorities for estimating the potential global economic impacts of future climate change.

8:00-8:15 Welcome, background and motivation for the day- John Weyant (Stanford), Bryan Mignone (ExxonMobil)

Chair: John Weyant (Stanford)

Global socioeconomic and emissions projections

8:15-8:30 Overview on options, state of science, and scientific challenges- Steven Rose (EPRI)

8:30-9:00 Panel- Karen Fisher-Vanden (PSU) State), Volker Krey (IIASA)

9:00-10:00 General discussion on challenges and opportunities

10:00-10:30 MORNING BREAK

Chair: Robert Mendelsohn (Yale)

Discounting future economic impacts

10:30-10:45 Overview on options, state of science, and scientific challenges- Steven Rose (EPRI)

10:45-11:15 Panel- John Weyant (Stanford), John Reilly (MIT)

11:15-12:00 General discussion on challenges and opportunities

Noon-12:45 LUNCH

Chair: John Reilly (MIT)

Estimating the global economic impacts and response to a future climate

1:00-1:15 Overview on options, state of science, and scientific challenges- Steven Rose (EPRI)

1:15-2:15 Panel- Robert Mendelsohn (Yale), Ian Sue Wing (Boston Univ), Kiyoshi Takahashi (NIES), Juan Carlos Ciscar (JRC)

2:15-3:15 General discussion on challenges and opportunities

3:15-3:45 AFTERNOON BREAK

Snowmass wrap-up

Chair: John Weyant (Stanford)

3:45-4:00 Chair’s Introduction- John Weyant (Stanford)

4:00-4:45 Wrap-up discussion- All

4:45-5:00 Closing remarks and logistics- John Weyant (Stanford)

5:00     ADJOURN